Tag: Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Week 15 Picks

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 15 games for Winners and Whiners between:

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

The picks will be updated in stages, with Sunday’s picks coming either Saturday or Sunday morning, and then the picks for Monday night’s game coming late Monday morning or early afternoon.

Week 14 Review:

In some ways, I am not surprised I had a sub-.500 week given that I did not write any previews and felt I was on the fence for so many selections. One of the keys down the stretch is being more picky about which picks are the better picks and how to winnow out games for the “average” selections for whatever reason (i.e., changes at quarterback, coaches’ firings, injuries, etc.).

There were not many picks to be proud about, though removing the stress of watching the second half of the Chiefs-Ravens game by taking the Chiefs less than a touchdown in the first half gave me a small sense of satisfaction.

And on Monday,  I hope to return to the “Bank the Bet” podcast with Scott Steehn, which is always a good time as we break down the Monday night matchup between the Saints and Panthers. Scott usually finds a third to join us, and it is always a good time, and more times than not, one of us is making money from our picks, so why don’t you give a listen and get some money too!

So follow Winners and Whiners on Twitter here (@WinnersWhiners) and follow me here @AlTruda73

For the individual games that have six picks, remember the 5/5 is simply the best pick of that individual game, not the entire week. There will be two other four and five-star picks among the rest of the Week 15 selections.

That said… ONTO THE GAMES!

Thursday, December 13

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs — Over 27.5 points 1st Half (3/5): LOSS!

Saturday, December 15

Houston Texans at New York Jets — Over 44 points (4/5) — WIN!
Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos — Over 22.5 points 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!

Sunday, December 16

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers:

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers Full Game — Seahawks -3.5 (5/5) — LOSS!
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers Full Total —  UNDER 44.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers Full Prop — Seahawks OVER 24.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers 1st Half — Seahawks -3 (4/5) — LOSS!
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers 1st Half Total — UNDER 22 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers 1st Half Prop — Seahawks OVER 12.5 points (3/5) — WIN!

Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons — Falcons OVER 13.5 points 1st Half (3/5) — WIN!
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens — UNDER 46.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills — Bills -2.5 (3/5) — LOSS!
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — UNDER 22.5 points 1st half (4/5) — WIN!
Oakland Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals — Raiders +3 (3/5) — LOSS!
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts — UNDER 47 points (5/5) — WIN!
Washington Redskins at Jacksonville Jaguars — UNDER 17.5 points 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings — Dolphins OVER 8.5 points 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Tennessee Titans at New York Giants — OVER 43.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers — UNDER 54.5 points (5/5) — WIN!
Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams — Rams -13 (3/5)

This Week’s Record: 9-10 (.474)
Season Record: 164-150-1 (.522)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 5-8 (.385)          Season (119-105-1, .531)
4-Star Pick Record: 2-1 (.667)          Season (21-26, .447)
5-Star Pick Record: 2-1 (.667)          Season (24-19, .558)

WEEK 14 NFL Picks — UPDATES WITH SUNDAY PICKS!

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 14 games for Winners and Whiners between:

No previews this week.

Just a note that I did not write any previews for this weekend’s games since my liver and myself are recovering from my alma mater Marquette defeating No. 12 Wisconsin in overtime. If you ever want to lose a layer of stomach lining, I strongly suggest watching your team — which entered the game shooting 75.9 percent from the foul line — miss six consecutive free throws while trying to protect a four-point lead in overtime. Good times. Anyway, there will be some games with between two picks for all 16 games this weekend to get to a total of 20.

And while I will not be on the “Bank the Bet” podcast in which Scott Steehn, you should give a listen because Scott always gets good people on that show who make smart, winning picks. So follow Winners and Whiners on Twitter here (@WinnersWhiners) and follow me as well here @AlTruda73

Week 13 Review:

I blame my love of offense on flopping Thursday night, and not trusting in the “rust” of the Rams in the first half. I also blame Mike McCarthy for the Packers debacle. Just like everyone in Green Bay. There were two picks I was proud of — the Dolphins money line in the first half and the Jets getting six points at Tennessee before that colossal collapse.

Also, it never ceases to amaze how close to a lock is the Patriots are when giving less than a touchdown. And so it goes for this bitter Jets fan. Once more to the picks!

Thursday, Dec. 6

Jacksonville at Tennessee: Over 18.5 points 1st Half (3/5) — LOSS!

Sunday, Dec. 9

New York Jets at Buffalo: Bills -4.5 (3/5) — LOSS!
New York Giants at Washington: Giants -3 (3/5) — WIN!
New Orleans at Tampa Bay: Saints -9.5 (4/5) and Under 54 points (3/5) —  WIN and WIN!
New England at Miami: Patriots -9 (3/5) — LOSS!
Baltimore at Kansas City: Chiefs -4 1st half (5/5) — WIN!
Indianapolis at Houston: Texans -4 (4/5) and Over 49 points (3/5) — LOSS! and LOSS!
Carolina at Cleveland: Over 23.5 points 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Atlanta at Green Bay: Under 50.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Denver at San Francisco: Under 22.5 points 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Cincinnati at Los Angeles Chargers: Chargers -9.5 1st half (4/5) — LOSS!
Philadelphia at Dallas: Over 21.5 points 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!
Detroit at Arizona: Cardinals +1 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!
Pittsburgh at Oakland: Steelers -7 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago: Over 51.5 points (3/5) and Bears +1.5 1st half (3/5) — LOSS/WIN!

December 10

Minnesota at Seattle: Over 46 points (5/5) — LOSS!

Previous Week’s Record: 8-11 (.421)
Season Record: 157-140-1 (.529)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 6-9 (.400)          Season (114-97-1, .540)
4-Star Pick Record: 1-1 (.500)         Season (19-25, .432)
5-Star Pick Record: 1-1 (.500)         Season (22-18, .550)

NFL Week 13 Picks — UPDATED WITH MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL!!

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 13 games for Winners and Whiners between:

Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions
Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles

Week 12 Review:

Disclaimer: I am a New York Jets fan, which while currently living in Chicago, I equate to being the drunken obnoxious twin of the lovable loser Cubs fans prior to their winning the World Series title. I sat at my dive bar watching the Jets-Patriots game fairly confident the Jets would not ruin my “under” pick with a back-door touchdown that also would have killed people who took the Patriots giving whatever range of points one could get during the week. And that confidence was rewarded when that 4th down pass fell incomplete just after the two-minute warning.

Once again, I tried to be too cute by a half and threaded a needle that was not there in the Chargers-Cardinals game after taking the Chargers and the points and the over in the first half because I keep believing the Cardinals are going to somehow morph into a competent team with Josh Rosen. The only other incorrect pick that raised my hackles was Pittsburgh turning in a clunker for a second consecutive week after thinking it had purged itself of such performances in the win over Jacksonville.

Note: Monday’s picks will move late morning/early afternoon Monday after the “Bank the Bet” podcast in which Scott Steehn and I break down the NFC East blood feud between the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Redskins. In a shameless boast of my prowess that will undoubtedly lead to some comeuppance, I am 11-1 with my MNF picks the last two weeks after sweeping a six-pack of picks in the Titans-Texans game. This contest, however, is more challenging to call.

So, please, give a listen! And as always, onto the picks!

Thursday, Nov. 29

New Orleans at Dallas — Saints over 15.5 1st Half (3/5) — LOSS!
New Orleans at Dallas — Saints -7.5 (3/5) — LOSS!

Sunday, Dec. 2

L. A. Rams at Detroit Lions:

L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: Rams -10 (4/5) — WIN!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions Over/Under: Over 55 points (3/5) — LOSS!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: Full Prop: Lions under 22.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: 1st Half: Rams -6.5 (5/5) — WIN!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: 1st Half Over/Under: Over 27 points (3/5) — LOSS!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: 1st Half Prop: Rams over 17.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!

Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers —

Arizona at Green Bay Packers: Packers -14 (4/5) — LOSS!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers Over/Under: Under 42.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers Full Prop: Cardinals under 14.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers 1st Half: Packers -8 (3/5) — LOSS!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers 1st Half Over/Under: Over 21.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers 1st Half Prop: Packers Over 15.5 points (5/5) — LOSS!

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons –Falcons -1.5 (4/5) — LOSS!
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals — Broncos -5.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans — Texans over 26.5 points (5/5) — WIN!
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars — Colts -3 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins — Dolphins -180 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Chicago Bears at New York Giants — Over 44 points (3/5) — WIN!
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Under 53.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders — Under 54.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans — N.Y. Jets +6 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots — Patriots -5 (3/5) — WIN!
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — 49ers under 18.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers — Chargers +2 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!

Monday, Dec. 3

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles —

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles: Eagles -6 (4/5) — WIN!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles Over/Under: Over 45 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles Full Prop: Eagles over 25.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles 1st Half: Eagles -200 (3/5) — WIN!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles 1st Half Over/Under: Over 22.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles 1st Half Prop: Eagles over 13.5 points (5/5) — WIN!

Previous Week’s Record: 17-15 (.531)
Season Record: 149-129-1 (.536)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 12-12 (.500)      Season (110-88-1, .555)
4-Star Pick Record: 2-2 (.500)           Season (18-24, .429)
5-Star Pick Record: 3-1 (.750)           Season (21-17, .553)

NFL Week 11 picks (UPDATED WITH MONDAY NIGHT PICKS)

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 11 games for Winners and Whiners between:

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville
Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Rams

Week 10 Review:

It is amazing watching one play completely undo your picks. In the Dallas-Philadelphia play Sunday night, that 3rd-and-15 screen pass to Michael Gallup for 25 yards when the Cowboys led 6-3 changed everything. If the Eagles make a stop there, the Cowboys punt and the Eagles likely run out the clock. I had the Cowboys under 8.5 points in the first half, the Cowboys under 18.5 points, the Eagles giving 6.5 points, and the overall under. And all four picks came undone with the ripple effects after that conversion.

All things considered, though, to finish above .500 after hitting 75 percent in Week 9 is acceptable. There were also a lot of ugly games in terms of betting, and there was some comeuppance (hello, New England and the Jacksonville-Indianapolis under).

Note: Monday’s picks will move late morning/early afternoon Monday after the “Bank the Bet” podcast in which Scott Steehn and I break down the titanic, humongous, incredible, not-to-be missed, gargantuan and epic possible Super Bowl preview between the Chiefs and Rams. So give a listen!

Thursday, Nov. 15

Green Bay at Seattle — Over 49.5 points (3/5) — WIN!

Sunday, Nov. 18

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville:

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville Full Game: Steelers -5.5 (5/5) — LOSS!
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville Over/Under: Under 47 points (4/5) — WIN!
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville: Jaguars Under 20.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville: 1st Half: Steelers -3 (3/5) — LOSS!
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville: 1st Half Over/Under: Over 23.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville: 1st Half Prop: Steelers over 13.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!

Cincinnati at Baltimore — Bengals Over 19.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Tampa Bay at New York Giants — Under 52 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Houston at Washington — Texans -3 (5/5) — LOSS!
Dallas at Atlanta — Falcons Over 13.5 points 1st Half (3/5) — LOSS!
Tennessee at Indianapolis — Colts -2 (3/5) — WIN!
Carolina at Detroit — Panthers -4.5 (4/5) — LOSS!
Denver at Los Angeles Chargers — Chargers -4.5 1st Half (3/5) — WIN!
Oakland at Arizona — Under 40.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Philadelphia at New Orleans — Saints -5 1st Half (3/5) — WIN!
Minnesota at Chicago — Over 44.5 points (3/5) — WIN!

Monday, Nov. 19

Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Rams

Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Rams Full Game: — Chiefs +3.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Rams Over/Under: Over 63.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Rams Prop: Mahomes Over 2.5 TD passes (4/5) — WIN!
Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Rams 1st Half: Rams -2.5 (3/5) — LOSS!
Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Rams 1st Half Over/Under: Over 31.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Rams 1st Half Prop: Chiefs Over 14.5 points (5/5) — WIN!

Previous Week’s Record: 13-10 (.565)
Season Record: 114-104-1 (.523)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 10-7 (.588)       Season (82-69-1, .543)
4-Star Pick Record: 2-1 (.667)          Season (15-20, .429)
5-Star Pick Record: 1-2 (.333)           Season (16-14, .533)

 

 

NFL Week 10 Picks (UPDATES with Monday Night Football!)

Week 9 Review: (Cue Lou Gehrig microphone echo)… “Today, I consider myself, the luckiest man on the face of the earth.” Yep, it was that good. Did I get few breaks? Oh absolutely. Zuerlein’s bomb at the end of the first half in the Rams-Saints game was one. Denver’s missed field goal against Houston was another, especially since I had a 5/5 confidence rating on it. Sometimes you come out lucky, sometimes not so much. I’m sure there is a disaster waiting to be unfurled between now and the end of the season. Hell, it might even be this week. But still, onto the games!

Thursday, Nov. 8

Carolina at Pittsburgh: Over 9.5 points 1st Quarter (3/5) — WIN!

Sunday, Nov. 11

New Orleans at Cincinnati — Over 27 points first half (5/5) — WIN!
Atlanta at Cleveland — Falcons over 14.5 points 1H (3/5) — LOSS!
Jacksonville at Indianapolis — Under 47 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Detroit at Chicago — Over 44 points (4/5) — WIN!
Arizona at Kansas City — Chiefs -10 1H (3/5) — WIN!
New England at Tennessee — Patriots -3.5 1H (3/5) — LOSS!
Washington at Tampa Bay — Under 50.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Buffalo at New York Jets — Jets -7 (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland — Under 49.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Miami at Green Bay — Packers -3 1st Quarter (3/5) — WIN!
Seattle at Los Angeles Rams — Seahawks +9.5 (3/5) — WIN!

Dallas at Philadelphia:

Dallas at Philadelphia Full Game: Eagles -6.5 (4/5) — LOSS!
Dallas at Philadelphia Over/Under: Under 43.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Dallas at Philadelphia Full Prop: Cowboys under 18.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Dallas at Philadelphia 1st Half: Eagles -4 (3/5) — LOSS!
Dallas at Philadelphia 1st Half Over/Under: Under 21.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Dallas at Philadelphia 1st Half Prop: Cowboys Under 8.5 points (5/5) — LOSS!

Monday, Nov. 12

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers:

New York Giants at San Francisco Full Game: Giants +3.5 (3/5) — WIN!
New York Giants at San Francisco Over/Under: Under 45 points (3/5) — LOSS!
New York Giants at San Francisco Full Prop: 49ers Under 24.5 points (5/5) — WIN!
New York Giants at San Francisco 1st Half: 49ers -2.5 (4/5) — WIN!
New York Giants at San Francisco 1st Half Over/Under: Under 23 points (3/5) — PUSH!
New York Giants at San Francisco 1st Half Prop: 1st Quarter Under 7.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!

Previous Week’s Record: 12-11-1 (.521)
Season Record: 101-94-1 (.518)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 8-9-1 (.472)       Season (72-62-1, .537)
4-Star Pick Record: 2-1 (.667)          Season (13-19, .406)
5-Star Pick Record: 2-1 (.667)           Season (15-13, .536)

NFL Picks — Week 9 (UPDATED WITH MONDAY NIGHT PICKS !)

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 9 games for Winners and Whiners between:

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys

Week 8 Review: Rock early, suck late. Just one of those things that happens when you get overly excited and see little things go against you (I’m looking at you, Ryan Fitzpatrick ripping apart the Bengals secondary for a backdoor cover despite Cincinnati being plus-4 in turnover margin). I went to the Jets-Bears game and was fascinated with the vanilla offenses both teams used. For the Jets, I kind of understand it given Sam Darnold is a rookie and it is still important to have him make the throws he knows he can make. I was a little surprised the Bears did not open the offense more for Trubisky, but it was also a game they did not need him to win it for them, but to simply manage it, and he did that well. The Monday night game brought some respectability back for full game, though trusting Tom Brady in the first half proved to be problematic.

Note: Monday’s picks will move late morning/early afternoon Monday after the “Bank the Bet” podcast in which Scott Steehn and I break down the picks a little further. So give a listen! And don’t forget to make like Cher and turn back time.

Thursday, Nov. 1

Oakland at San Francisco: 49ers 1st Half over 11.5 points (3/5) — WIN!

Sunday, Nov. 4

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks:

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks: Seahawks -2 (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks Over/Under: Over 47.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks Full Prop: Lockett TD+Seahawks win +275 (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks 1st Half: Chargers +0.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks 1st Half Over/Under: Over 23.5 points (4/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks 1st Half Prop: Seahawks Over 12.5 points (5/5) — LOSS!

Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints:

Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints: Saints -2 (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints Over/Under: Over 59.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints Full Prop: Saints over 28.5 points (4/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints 1st Half: Saints +0.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints 1st Half Over/Under: Over 29 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints 1st Half Prop: Rams Over 15.5 points (5/5) — WIN!

Tampa Bay at Carolina — Carolina -6.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City at Cleveland — Kansas City -9 (4/5) — WIN!
New York Jets at Miami — Over 44 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Pittsburgh at Baltimore — Under 47 points (3/5) — WIN!
Chicago at Buffalo — Bears -6.5 1st Half (3/5) — WIN!
Detroit at Minnesota — Minnesota -6 (3/5) — WIN!
Atlanta at Washington — Over 48 points (3/5) — WIN!
Houston at Denver — Houston +1 (5/5) — WIN!
Green Bay at New England — Under 57 points (3/5) — WIN!

Monday, Nov. 5

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys:

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys: Cowboys -5 (3/5) — LOSS!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys Over/Under: Over 40.5 points (5/5) — WIN!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys Full Prop: Amari Cooper over 48.5 receiving yards (4/5) — WIN!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys 1st Half: Cowboys -3 (3/5) — LOSS!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys 1st Half Over/Under: Over 20 points (3/5) — WIN!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys 1st Half Prop: Cowboys -0.5 1Q (3/5) — WIN!

Previous Week’s Record: 21-7 (.750)
Season Record: 89-83 (.517)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 14-6 (.700)        Season (64-53, .547)
4-Star Pick Record: 4-0 (1.000)        Season (11-18, .379)
5-Star Pick Record: 3-1 (.750)          Season (13-12, .500)

Week 8 NFL Picks (UPDATED WITH PICKS FOR THE MONDAY NIGHT GAME!)

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 8 game for Winners and Whiners between:

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills:

Week 7 Review: And it was going all so well until Monday night, when it all came undone like a cheap suit thanks to the suddenly potent pass rushes of both teams. That angered me about missing the over. Then, once the Falcons went ahead 23-12, the Murphy’s Law of the worst possible betting outcomes came through as the Giants not only scored a touchdown, but then converted the two-point conversion to ruin the spread pick. Aside from that game, almost everything else about Week 7 went well.

Three of the losses felt like one-offs: Watching the Chargers blow a seven-point lead as the Titans ran the ball during their two-minute drill was maddening, the Eagles’ self-inflicted Heimlich against Carolina was puzzling, and the Chiefs’ decision to do the gentlemanly thing and call four running plays inside the Bengals 10 while up 45-10 to ruin the over was aggravating. But that overlooks the good, helped by Justin Tucker’s wide-eyed miss of an extra point, the Patriots being favored by less than a touchdown, and the Lions taking the Dolphins behind the woodshed.

Then again, if I didn’t have something to complain about every week, how would I entertain you? Onto the picks!

Thursday, Oct. 25

Miami at Houston: Texans -7.5 (3/5) — WIN!

Sunday, Oct. 28

Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville (Wembley Stadium in London) Eagles -3.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Washington at New York Giants — Redskins -1.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Seattle at Detroit — Seahawks +3 (3/5) — WIN!
Cleveland at Pittsburgh — Over 48.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Denver at Kansas City — Chiefs -6.5 1st Half (5/5) — LOSS!
Tampa Bay at Cincinnati — Bengals -4 (3/5) — LOSS!
Baltimore at Carolina — Under 44 points (4/5) — LOSS!
New York Jets at Chicago — Jets +9.5 (3/5) — LOSS! 
Indianapolis at Oakland — Colts Over 13.5 points 1st Half (3/5) — LOSS!
San Francisco at Arizona — Over 41.5 points (4/5) — LOSS!
Green Bay at Los Angeles Rams — Rams -6 1st Half (5/5) — LOSS!
New Orleans at Minnesota — Over 54 points (3/5) — LOSS! 

Monday, Oct. 29

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills:

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills: Patriots -14 (3/5) — WIN!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Over/Under: Under 44.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Full Prop: Bills Under 15.5 points (4/5) — WIN!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills 1st Half: Patriots -7.5 (5/5) — LOSS!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills 1st Half Over/Under: Over 22.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills 1st Half Prop: Over 7.5 points 1Q (3/5) — LOSS!

Previous Week’s Record: 8-11 (.421)
Season Record: 68-76 (.472)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 7-6 (.538)          Season (50-47, .515)
4-Star Pick Record: 1-2 (.333)          Season (7-18, .280)
5-Star Pick Record: 0-3 (.000)          Season (10-11, .476)