WEEK 14 NFL Picks — UPDATES WITH SUNDAY PICKS!

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 14 games for Winners and Whiners between:

No previews this week.

Just a note that I did not write any previews for this weekend’s games since my liver and myself are recovering from my alma mater Marquette defeating No. 12 Wisconsin in overtime. If you ever want to lose a layer of stomach lining, I strongly suggest watching your team — which entered the game shooting 75.9 percent from the foul line — miss six consecutive free throws while trying to protect a four-point lead in overtime. Good times. Anyway, there will be some games with between two picks for all 16 games this weekend to get to a total of 20.

And while I will not be on the “Bank the Bet” podcast in which Scott Steehn, you should give a listen because Scott always gets good people on that show who make smart, winning picks. So follow Winners and Whiners on Twitter here (@WinnersWhiners) and follow me as well here @AlTruda73

Week 13 Review:

I blame my love of offense on flopping Thursday night, and not trusting in the “rust” of the Rams in the first half. I also blame Mike McCarthy for the Packers debacle. Just like everyone in Green Bay. There were two picks I was proud of — the Dolphins money line in the first half and the Jets getting six points at Tennessee before that colossal collapse.

Also, it never ceases to amaze how close to a lock is the Patriots are when giving less than a touchdown. And so it goes for this bitter Jets fan. Once more to the picks!

Thursday, Dec. 6

Jacksonville at Tennessee: Over 18.5 points 1st Half (3/5) — LOSS!

Sunday, Dec. 9

New York Jets at Buffalo: Bills -4.5 (3/5) — LOSS!
New York Giants at Washington: Giants -3 (3/5) — WIN!
New Orleans at Tampa Bay: Saints -9.5 (4/5) and Under 54 points (3/5) —  WIN and WIN!
New England at Miami: Patriots -9 (3/5) — LOSS!
Baltimore at Kansas City: Chiefs -4 1st half (5/5) — WIN!
Indianapolis at Houston: Texans -4 (4/5) and Over 49 points (3/5) — LOSS! and LOSS!
Carolina at Cleveland: Over 23.5 points 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Atlanta at Green Bay: Under 50.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Denver at San Francisco: Under 22.5 points 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Cincinnati at Los Angeles Chargers: Chargers -9.5 1st half (4/5) — LOSS!
Philadelphia at Dallas: Over 21.5 points 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!
Detroit at Arizona: Cardinals +1 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!
Pittsburgh at Oakland: Steelers -7 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago: Over 51.5 points (3/5) and Bears +1.5 1st half (3/5) — LOSS/WIN!

December 10

Minnesota at Seattle: Over 46 points (5/5) — LOSS!

Previous Week’s Record: 8-11 (.421)
Season Record: 157-140-1 (.529)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 6-9 (.400)          Season (114-97-1, .540)
4-Star Pick Record: 1-1 (.500)         Season (19-25, .432)
5-Star Pick Record: 1-1 (.500)         Season (22-18, .550)

NFL Week 13 Picks — UPDATED WITH MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL!!

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 13 games for Winners and Whiners between:

Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions
Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles

Week 12 Review:

Disclaimer: I am a New York Jets fan, which while currently living in Chicago, I equate to being the drunken obnoxious twin of the lovable loser Cubs fans prior to their winning the World Series title. I sat at my dive bar watching the Jets-Patriots game fairly confident the Jets would not ruin my “under” pick with a back-door touchdown that also would have killed people who took the Patriots giving whatever range of points one could get during the week. And that confidence was rewarded when that 4th down pass fell incomplete just after the two-minute warning.

Once again, I tried to be too cute by a half and threaded a needle that was not there in the Chargers-Cardinals game after taking the Chargers and the points and the over in the first half because I keep believing the Cardinals are going to somehow morph into a competent team with Josh Rosen. The only other incorrect pick that raised my hackles was Pittsburgh turning in a clunker for a second consecutive week after thinking it had purged itself of such performances in the win over Jacksonville.

Note: Monday’s picks will move late morning/early afternoon Monday after the “Bank the Bet” podcast in which Scott Steehn and I break down the NFC East blood feud between the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Redskins. In a shameless boast of my prowess that will undoubtedly lead to some comeuppance, I am 11-1 with my MNF picks the last two weeks after sweeping a six-pack of picks in the Titans-Texans game. This contest, however, is more challenging to call.

So, please, give a listen! And as always, onto the picks!

Thursday, Nov. 29

New Orleans at Dallas — Saints over 15.5 1st Half (3/5) — LOSS!
New Orleans at Dallas — Saints -7.5 (3/5) — LOSS!

Sunday, Dec. 2

L. A. Rams at Detroit Lions:

L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: Rams -10 (4/5) — WIN!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions Over/Under: Over 55 points (3/5) — LOSS!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: Full Prop: Lions under 22.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: 1st Half: Rams -6.5 (5/5) — WIN!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: 1st Half Over/Under: Over 27 points (3/5) — LOSS!
L.A. Rams at Detroit Lions: 1st Half Prop: Rams over 17.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!

Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers —

Arizona at Green Bay Packers: Packers -14 (4/5) — LOSS!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers Over/Under: Under 42.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers Full Prop: Cardinals under 14.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers 1st Half: Packers -8 (3/5) — LOSS!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers 1st Half Over/Under: Over 21.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Arizona at Green Bay Packers 1st Half Prop: Packers Over 15.5 points (5/5) — LOSS!

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons –Falcons -1.5 (4/5) — LOSS!
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals — Broncos -5.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans — Texans over 26.5 points (5/5) — WIN!
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars — Colts -3 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins — Dolphins -180 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Chicago Bears at New York Giants — Over 44 points (3/5) — WIN!
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Under 53.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders — Under 54.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans — N.Y. Jets +6 1st half (3/5) — WIN!
Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots — Patriots -5 (3/5) — WIN!
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks — 49ers under 18.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers — Chargers +2 1st half (3/5) — LOSS!

Monday, Dec. 3

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles: Eagles -6 (4/5) — WIN!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles Over/Under: Over 45 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles Full Prop: Eagles over 25.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles 1st Half: Eagles -200 (3/5) — WIN!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles 1st Half Over/Under: Over 22.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles 1st Half Prop: Eagles over 13.5 points (5/5) — WIN!

Previous Week’s Record: 17-15 (.531)
Season Record: 149-129-1 (.536)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 12-12 (.500)      Season (110-88-1, .555)
4-Star Pick Record: 2-2 (.500)           Season (18-24, .429)
5-Star Pick Record: 3-1 (.750)           Season (21-17, .553)

NFL Picks — Week 9 (UPDATED WITH MONDAY NIGHT PICKS !)

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 9 games for Winners and Whiners between:

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys

Week 8 Review: Rock early, suck late. Just one of those things that happens when you get overly excited and see little things go against you (I’m looking at you, Ryan Fitzpatrick ripping apart the Bengals secondary for a backdoor cover despite Cincinnati being plus-4 in turnover margin). I went to the Jets-Bears game and was fascinated with the vanilla offenses both teams used. For the Jets, I kind of understand it given Sam Darnold is a rookie and it is still important to have him make the throws he knows he can make. I was a little surprised the Bears did not open the offense more for Trubisky, but it was also a game they did not need him to win it for them, but to simply manage it, and he did that well. The Monday night game brought some respectability back for full game, though trusting Tom Brady in the first half proved to be problematic.

Note: Monday’s picks will move late morning/early afternoon Monday after the “Bank the Bet” podcast in which Scott Steehn and I break down the picks a little further. So give a listen! And don’t forget to make like Cher and turn back time.

Thursday, Nov. 1

Oakland at San Francisco: 49ers 1st Half over 11.5 points (3/5) — WIN!

Sunday, Nov. 4

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks:

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks: Seahawks -2 (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks Over/Under: Over 47.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks Full Prop: Lockett TD+Seahawks win +275 (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks 1st Half: Chargers +0.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks 1st Half Over/Under: Over 23.5 points (4/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks 1st Half Prop: Seahawks Over 12.5 points (5/5) — LOSS!

Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints:

Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints: Saints -2 (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints Over/Under: Over 59.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints Full Prop: Saints over 28.5 points (4/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints 1st Half: Saints +0.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints 1st Half Over/Under: Over 29 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints 1st Half Prop: Rams Over 15.5 points (5/5) — WIN!

Tampa Bay at Carolina — Carolina -6.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City at Cleveland — Kansas City -9 (4/5) — WIN!
New York Jets at Miami — Over 44 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Pittsburgh at Baltimore — Under 47 points (3/5) — WIN!
Chicago at Buffalo — Bears -6.5 1st Half (3/5) — WIN!
Detroit at Minnesota — Minnesota -6 (3/5) — WIN!
Atlanta at Washington — Over 48 points (3/5) — WIN!
Houston at Denver — Houston +1 (5/5) — WIN!
Green Bay at New England — Under 57 points (3/5) — WIN!

Monday, Nov. 5

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys:

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys: Cowboys -5 (3/5) — LOSS!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys Over/Under: Over 40.5 points (5/5) — WIN!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys Full Prop: Amari Cooper over 48.5 receiving yards (4/5) — WIN!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys 1st Half: Cowboys -3 (3/5) — LOSS!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys 1st Half Over/Under: Over 20 points (3/5) — WIN!
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys 1st Half Prop: Cowboys -0.5 1Q (3/5) — WIN!

Previous Week’s Record: 21-7 (.750)
Season Record: 89-83 (.517)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 14-6 (.700)        Season (64-53, .547)
4-Star Pick Record: 4-0 (1.000)        Season (11-18, .379)
5-Star Pick Record: 3-1 (.750)          Season (13-12, .500)

Week 8 NFL Picks (UPDATED WITH PICKS FOR THE MONDAY NIGHT GAME!)

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 8 game for Winners and Whiners between:

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills:

Week 7 Review: And it was going all so well until Monday night, when it all came undone like a cheap suit thanks to the suddenly potent pass rushes of both teams. That angered me about missing the over. Then, once the Falcons went ahead 23-12, the Murphy’s Law of the worst possible betting outcomes came through as the Giants not only scored a touchdown, but then converted the two-point conversion to ruin the spread pick. Aside from that game, almost everything else about Week 7 went well.

Three of the losses felt like one-offs: Watching the Chargers blow a seven-point lead as the Titans ran the ball during their two-minute drill was maddening, the Eagles’ self-inflicted Heimlich against Carolina was puzzling, and the Chiefs’ decision to do the gentlemanly thing and call four running plays inside the Bengals 10 while up 45-10 to ruin the over was aggravating. But that overlooks the good, helped by Justin Tucker’s wide-eyed miss of an extra point, the Patriots being favored by less than a touchdown, and the Lions taking the Dolphins behind the woodshed.

Then again, if I didn’t have something to complain about every week, how would I entertain you? Onto the picks!

Thursday, Oct. 25

Miami at Houston: Texans -7.5 (3/5) — WIN!

Sunday, Oct. 28

Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville (Wembley Stadium in London) Eagles -3.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Washington at New York Giants — Redskins -1.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Seattle at Detroit — Seahawks +3 (3/5) — WIN!
Cleveland at Pittsburgh — Over 48.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Denver at Kansas City — Chiefs -6.5 1st Half (5/5) — LOSS!
Tampa Bay at Cincinnati — Bengals -4 (3/5) — LOSS!
Baltimore at Carolina — Under 44 points (4/5) — LOSS!
New York Jets at Chicago — Jets +9.5 (3/5) — LOSS! 
Indianapolis at Oakland — Colts Over 13.5 points 1st Half (3/5) — LOSS!
San Francisco at Arizona — Over 41.5 points (4/5) — LOSS!
Green Bay at Los Angeles Rams — Rams -6 1st Half (5/5) — LOSS!
New Orleans at Minnesota — Over 54 points (3/5) — LOSS! 

Monday, Oct. 29

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills:

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills: Patriots -14 (3/5) — WIN!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Over/Under: Under 44.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Full Prop: Bills Under 15.5 points (4/5) — WIN!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills 1st Half: Patriots -7.5 (5/5) — LOSS!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills 1st Half Over/Under: Over 22.5 points (3/5) — LOSS!
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills 1st Half Prop: Over 7.5 points 1Q (3/5) — LOSS!

Previous Week’s Record: 8-11 (.421)
Season Record: 68-76 (.472)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 7-6 (.538)          Season (50-47, .515)
4-Star Pick Record: 1-2 (.333)          Season (7-18, .280)
5-Star Pick Record: 0-3 (.000)          Season (10-11, .476)

 

Week 7 NFL Picks — October 21 (UPDATED WITH MONDAY NIGHT PICKS!)

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 7 games for Winners and Whiners between:

Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers and New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons:

Picks for Sunday’s games have been made, and Monday’s picks will be updated during Monday afternoon after a final update of the preview.

Thursday night review: To take page from the great cartoon, Anamaniacs, it’s time for another “Good Idea, Bad Idea.” Good Idea — Taking the under for Josh Rosen passing yards against a Broncos defense with a point to prove. Bad Idea — Not putting cause and correlation together to take the Broncos giving the road point in what was a stomping in the desert. Duh.

Week 6 Review: Hey, it was a good week! About the only miss that irritated me was the over/under on the Jaguars/Cowboys as Dallas erupted offensively. I did weep a silent tear when New England kicked that field goal to go up 40-33 against Kansas City because it ensured there would be no way the Patriots would cover that 3.5 number in regulation, even with the false hope of Rob Gronkowski nearly breaking that tackle that set up the game-winning field goal. Oh well.

Thursday, Oct. 18

Denver at Arizona — Cardinals +1 (3/5) — LOSS!
Josh Rosen Under 220.5 yards (3/5) — WIN!

Sunday, Oct. 21

Tennessee vs. Los Angeles Chargers (Wembley Stadium in London)

Tennessee vs. Los Angeles Chargers: Chargers -6.5 (4/5) — LOSS!
Tennessee vs. Los Angeles Chargers Over/Under: Under 45.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Tennessee vs. Los Angeles Chargers Full Prop: Gordon TD and Chargers win (3/5) — NO BET!
Tennessee vs. Los Angeles Chargers 1st half: Chargers -3.5 (5/5) — WIN!
Tennessee vs. Los Angeles Chargers 1st half Over/Under: Under 22.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Tennessee vs. Los Angeles Chargers 1st half Prop: Chargers over 13.5 (3/5) — LOSS!

Detroit at Miami — Lions Over 24.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Houston at Jacksonville — Texans +4.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Buffalo at Indianapolis — Under 43 (3/5) — WIN!
New England at Chicago — Patriots -2 (5/5) — WIN!
Minnesota at New York Jets — Over 46 (4/5) — WIN!
Cleveland at Tampa Bay — Over 24.5 1H (3/5) — LOSS!
Carolina at Philadelphia — Eagles -5 (3/5) — LOSS!
New Orleans at Baltimore — Saints +3 (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco — Rams Over 16.5 1H (5/5) — WIN!
Dallas at Washington — Washington +1.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Cincinnati at Kansas City — Over 58.5 (4/5) — LOSS!

Monday, Oct. 22

New York Giants at Atlanta

New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons: Falcons -4 (4/5) — LOSS!
New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons Over/Under: Over 52.5 points (3/5) — LOSS! 
New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons Full Prop: Barkley longest rush over 25.5 yards (3/5) — LOSS!
New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons 1st Half: Falcons -3 (3/5) — WIN!
New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons 1st Half Over/Under: Over 26.5 (3/5) — LOSS!
New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons 1st Half Prop: Falcons Over 16 1H (5/5) — LOSS! 

Previous Week’s Record: 13-11 (.542)
Season Record: 60-65 (.480)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 9-7 (.563)          Season (43-41, .512)
4-Star Pick Record: 1-3 (.250)          Season (6-16, .273)
5-Star Pick Record: 3-1 (.750)          Season (10-8, .556)

Week 6 NFL Picks — Oct. 14 (UPDATED!!)

This is the condensed version of picks for the NFL Week 6 game for Winners and Whiners between:

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots:

There will also be an expanded selection of Sunday picks posted at some point after Thursday’s Eagles-Giants game and before the kickoff of Sunday’s early games.

Week 5 Review: Suck early, rally late. That’s the best way I can describe it. After splitting the expanded picks in the early games with the Panthers-Giants and Broncos-Jets (Note: I would like to sarcastically thank Ron Rivera for his play-calling that helped the Giants rally to cover in the second half after having that game in hand), I managed to lose every single-game pick for the early games (Also, a sarcastic thank you to Joe Flacco’s eyebrow for losing at Cleveland).

Then, there was a miraculous recovery in the late session, with every pick hitting except the Arizona-San Francisco game due to a touchdown with 1:29 left to send the game to the over. Accordingly, C.J. Beathard is off my Christmas card list. Onward to the picks!

Thursday, Oct. 11

Philadelphia at New York Giants — Ertz TD + Eagles win (3/5) — WIN!
Eagles -3 (3/5) — WIN!

Sunday, Oct. 14

Tampa Bay at Atlanta — Falcons -3 (3/5) — WIN!
Chicago at Miami — Over 41.5 points (4/5) — WIN!
Buffalo at Houston — Texans Under 24.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland — Los Angeles Chargers +1.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati — Bengals -1 (3/5) — LOSS!
Carolina at Washington — McCaffrey TD + Panthers win (3/5) — LOSS!
Seattle at Oakland — Seahawks -2.5 (5/5) — WIN!
Indianapolis at New York Jets — Over 47.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Arizona at Minnesota —  Vikings -10.5 (3/5) — LOSS!
Los Angeles Rams at Denver — Rams 1H Over 14.5 points (5/5) — LOSS!
Jacksonville at Dallas — Under 40 points (3/5) — LOSS!
Baltimore at Tennessee — Under 42 points (3/5) — WIN!

Kansas City at New England

Kansas City at New England: Patriots -3.5 (3/5) — LOSS!
Kansas City at New England Over/Under: Over 59.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City at New England Full Prop: Over 6.5 total TDs (4/5) — WIN!
Kansas City at New England 1st half: Patriots -2.5 (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City at New England 1st half Over/Under: Over 29.5 points (3/5) — WIN!
Kansas City at New England 1st half Prop: Patriots Over 16.5 1H points (5/5) — WIN!

Monday, Oct. 15

San Francisco at Green Bay — Under 47 points (4/5)

Previous Week’s Record: 15-5 (.750)/14-6 (.700)
Season Record: 48-52 (.480)/47-53 (.470)

1-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
2-Star Pick Record: 0-0 (.000)          Season (0-0, .000)
3-Star Pick Record: 10-4 (.714)        Season (34-33, .453)
4-Star Pick Record: 2-0 (1.000)        Season (5-12, .200)
5-Star Pick Record: 2-1 (.667)          Season (8-7, .533)