Week 7 NCAAF Picks — October 13

These are the condensed versions of picks for the following October 13 college football games for Winners and Whiners. Links to the full previews are below and all times listed are Eastern:

Duke at Georgia Tech
UAB at Rice
Ball State at Central Michigan
Purdue at Illinois
No. 22 Texas A&M at South Carolina
Louisiana-Monroe at Coastal Carolina
Hawaii at BYU

Confidence rating is in parentheses. Note: The 5/5 does not represent the best overall pick of the day’s games, simply the best pick of each individual game.

 

Game 1: Duke at Georgia Tech:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Georgia Tech -2 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 56.5 points (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Georgia Tech -130 (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Georgia Tech -1 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 27.5 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Over 10.5 points 1Q (3/5)

Game 2: UAB at Rice:

Side Prediction/Full Game: UAB -16.5 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 54 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: UAB -460 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 27 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: UAB -450 1Q (3/5)

Game 3: Ball State at Central Michigan:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Ball State +2 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 54 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Ball State +120 (4/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Ball State +1.5 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 27.5 points -115 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Under 10.5 points 1Q -115 (3/5)

Game 4: Purdue at Illinois:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Purdue -10 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 61.5 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Purdue Over 36.5 points -120 (4/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Purdue -6.5 points (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 32 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Purdue Over 19.5 points (3/5)

Game 5: No. 22 Texas A&M at South Carolina:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Texas A&M -2 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 52 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Texas A&M -135 (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Texas A&M -1 -110 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 26.5 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Texas A&M -0.5 points +120 (3/5)

Game 6: Louisiana-Monroe at Coastal Carolina:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Coastal Carolina -4.5 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 66.5 points (2/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Coastal Carolina -260 (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Coastal Carolina -4 -110 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 34.5 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Over 14 points 1Q -135 (3/5)

Game 7: Hawaii at BYU:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Hawaii +15 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 54.5 points (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Hawaii Over 22.5 points (5/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: BYU -330 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 28.5 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Hawaii Over 10.5 points (4/5)

Previous Week’s Record: 11-15 (.423)
Season Record: 100-97 (.508)

1-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
2-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
3-star play record: (6-10, .375)       Season: (61-56, .521)
4-star play record: (2-3, .400)           Season: (18-26, .409)
5-star play record: (3-2, .600)           Season: (21-15, .583)

NCAAF Week 6 Picks — October 6

These are the condensed versions of picks for the following September 22 college football games for Winners and Whiners. Links to the full previews are below and all times listed are Eastern:

Confidence rating is in parentheses. Note: The 5/5 does not represent the best overall pick of the day’s games, simply the best pick of each individual game.

Tulane at Cincinnati
Missouri at South Carolina
No. 5 LSU at No. 22 Florida
Ohio at Kent State
Arizona State at No. 21 Colorado
Liberty at New Mexico State

Game 1: Tulane at Cincinnati:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Cincinnati -7 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 52.5 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Tulane Under 20.5 points (4/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Cincinnati -4 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 24 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Yes to score in first 6:00 (3/5)

Game 2: Missouri at South Carolina:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Missouri +2.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 62 points (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Missouri +0.5 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 33 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 3: No. 5 LSU at No. 22 Florida:

Side Prediction/Full Game: LSU -3 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 44 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Florida Under 21.5 points (5/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: LSU -1 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 22.5 points (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Longest TD over 40.5 yards (3/5)

Game 4: Ohio at Kent State:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Ohio -12.5 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 69.5 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Ohio -7 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 35 points (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 5: Arizona State at No. 21 Colorado:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Colorado -2.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 61/5 points (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Colorado -1 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 33.5 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 6: Liberty at New Mexico State:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Liberty -4 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 62.5 points (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Liberty -2.5 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 33 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Previous Week’s Record: 11-15 (.423)
Season Record: 100-97 (.508)

1-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
2-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
3-star play record: (6-10, .375)       Season: (61-56, .521)
4-star play record: (2-3, .400)           Season: (18-26, .409)
5-star play record: (3-2, .600)           Season: (21-15, .583)

NCAAF Picks Week 5 — September 29

These are the condensed versions of picks for the following September 22 college football games for Winners and Whiners. Links to the full previews are below and all times listed are Eastern:

No. 4 Ohio State at No. 9 Penn State
Baylor at No. 6 Oklahoma
Coastal Carolina at Troy
Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee
USC at Arizona

Game 1: No. 4 Ohio State at No. 9 Penn State:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Ohio State -4.5 -110 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 68 points -110 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Ohio State over 36.5 points -115 (5/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Ohio State -2 -110 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 34.5 points -110 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Ohio State over 18.5 points -115 (3/5)

Game 2: Baylor at No. 6 Oklahoma:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Baylor +27 -110 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 68 points -110 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Baylor over 22.5 points -115 (5/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Oklahoma -14 -105 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 35.5 points -110 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Baylor over 10.5 points -115 (3/5)

Game 3: Coastal Carolina at Troy:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Troy -14 -110 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 56.5 points (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Troy -7.5 -110 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 28.5 points -110 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 4: Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Middle Tennessee +4.5 +105 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 61.5 points -110 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Middle Tennessee +1.5 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 31 points -110 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 5: USC at Arizona:

Side Prediction/Full Game: USC -3 -120 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 60.5 points -110 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: USC over 31.5 points -110 (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Arizona +2 -110 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 30.5 points -110 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: USC over 16.5 points Even (5/5)

Previous Week’s Record: 21-23 (.477)
Season Record: 89-82 (.520)

1-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
2-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
3-star play record: (11-16, .407)       Season: (55-46, .545)
4-star play record: (6-3, .667)           Season: (16-23, .410)
5-star play record: (4-4, .500)           Season: (18-13, .581)

NCAAF Picks — Week 4 (September 22)

These are the condensed versions of picks for the following September 22 college football games for Winners and Whiners. Links to the full previews are below and all times listed are Eastern:

Florida at Tennessee
Nebraska at No. 19 Michigan
Kansas State at No. 12 West Virginia
Kent State at Mississippi
Rice at Southern Mississippi
No. 14 Mississippi State at Kentucky
No. 18 Wisconsin at Iowa
Arizona State at No. 10 Washington

Confidence rating is in parentheses. Also note, given the volume of college football games (and picks), a “5” rating does not imply the best pick of the day’s games, simply the best pick of that individual game.

Game 1: Florida at Tennessee:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Florida -4.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 47 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Tennessee Under 20.5 (5/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Florida -3 1H (4/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 22.5 1H (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Yes to score in first 6:30 (3/5)

Game 2: Nebraska at No. 19 Michigan:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Michigan -19 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 50 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Michigan Over 34.5 (5/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Michigan -10.5 1H (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 25.5 1H (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: No to score in first 6:00 (3/5)

Game 3: Kansas State at No. 12 West Virginia:

Side Prediction/Full Game: West Virginia -16 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 60.5 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: West Virginia Over 38.5 (4/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: West Virginia -9.5 1H (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 31 1H (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: No to score in first 5:30 (3/5)

Game 4: Kent State at Mississippi:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Ole Miss -28 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 77 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Kent State +19 1H (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 40.5 1H (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 5: Rice at Southern Mississippi:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Rice +14.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 54.5 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Rice +7 1H (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 27 1H (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 6: No. 14 Mississippi State at Kentucky:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Mississippi State -10 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 55.5 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Kentucky Under 23.5 (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Mississippi State -5.5 1H (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 28 1H (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: No to score in first 5:30 (3/5)

Game 7: No. 18 Wisconsin at Iowa:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Iowa +3.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 43.5 (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Longest TD Under 39.5 yards (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Wisconsin -1.5 1H (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 21.5 1H (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Yes to score in first 7:00 (3/5)

Game 8: Arizona State at No. 10 Washington:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Washington -17.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 51 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Washington Over 34.5 (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Washington -10 1H (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 26.5 1H (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: No to score in first 6:00 (3/5)

Previous Week’s Record: 24-24 (.500)
Season Record: 68-59 (.535)

1-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
2-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
3-star play record: (14-11, .560)       Season: (44-30, .595)
4-star play record: (4-9, .308)           Season: (10-20, .333)
5-star play record: (6-4, .600)           Season: (14-9, .609)

NCAAF picks — Week 3 (September 15)

These are the condensed versions of picks for the following September 15 college football games for Winners and Whiners. Links to the full previews are below and all times listed are Eastern:

No. 21 Miami (Fla) at Toledo, Noon
Texas-El Paso at Tennessee, Noon
Ball State at Indiana, Noon
Duke at Baylor, 3:30 p.m.
Colorado State at Florida, 4 p.m.
North Texas at Arkansas, 4 p.m.
Houston at Texas Tech, 4:15 p.m.
Arkansas State at Tulsa, 7 p.m.
Massachusetts at Florida International, 7:30 p.m.
No. 4 Ohio State vs. No. 15 TCU, 8 p.m. (at Dallas)
No. 9 Washington at Utah, 10 p.m.

Confidence rating is in parentheses. Also note, given the volume of college football games (and picks), a “5” rating does not imply the best pick of the day’s games, simply the best pick of that individual game.

Game 1: No. 21 Miami at Toledo:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Miami -9.5 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 56.5 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Toledo Under 23.5 (5/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Miami -6.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 29.5 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: No to score in first 5:30 (3/5)

Game 2: Texas-El Paso at Tennessee:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Tennessee -29.5 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 49 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Tennessee -18.5 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 26 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 3: Ball State at Indiana:

Side Prediction/Full Game:  Ball State +14 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 57.5 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Indiana -7.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 30.5 (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 4: Duke at Baylor:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Baylor -6 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 50.5 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Duke Under 21.5 (4/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Baylor -3.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 24.5 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Under 45.5 yards for longest TD (4/5)

Game 5: Colorado State at Florida:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Colorado State +19 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 58 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Colorado State +11.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 30.5 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 6: North Texas at Arkansas:

Side Prediction/Full Game: North Texas +7 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 70.5 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: North Texas +4 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 35 (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 7: Houston at Texas Tech:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Houston +2.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 69 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Over 63.5 yards for longest TD (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Texas Tech +0.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 35 (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Yes to score in first 5:00 (3/5)

Game 8: Arkansas State at Tulsa:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Tulsa +2 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 72 (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Arkansas State Pick’em (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 36.5 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 9: Massachusetts at Florida International:

Side Prediction/Full Game: FIU -4 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 59.5 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: FIU -3 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 32 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 10: No. 4 Ohio State vs. No. 15 TCU:

Side Prediction/Full Game: TCU +13 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 58 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Ohio State Under 36.5 (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Ohio State -7 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 30 (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: No to score in first 5:30 (3/5)

Game 11: No. 10 Washington at Utah:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Washington -6 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 47.5 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Under 44.5 yards for longest TD (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Washington -3 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 23.5 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Washington scores 1st (3/5)

Previous Week’s Record: 25-18 (.581)
Season Record: 44-35 (.557)

1-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
2-star play record: (0-0, .000)           Season: (0-0, .000)
3-star play record: (16-12, .571)       Season: (30-19, .612)
4-star play record: (4-3, .571)           Season: (6-11, .353)
5-star play record: (5-3, .625)           Season: (8-5, .613)

NCAAF Picks — September 8

These are the condensed versions of picks for Saturday’s college football games for Winners and Whiners. Links to the full previews are below.

Confidence rating is in parentheses. Also note, given the volume of college football games (and picks), a “5” rating does not imply the best pick of the day’s games, simply the best pick within that individual game.

Game 1: No. 3 Georgia at South Carolina:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Georgia -10 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 53 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: South Carolina Under 23.5 (5/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Georgia -6.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 28 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Yes to score in first 5:30 (3/5)

Game 2: Ball State at No. 12 Notre Dame

Side Prediction/Full Game: Notre Dame -34.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 62.5 points (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Notre Dame under 48.5 points (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Ball State +21.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 34.5 points (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 3: Iowa State at Iowa

Side Prediction/Full Game: Iowa -3.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 47 (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Yes to 1st score TD (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Iowa -3 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 23 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: No to score in first 6:30 (3/5)

Game 4: No. 2 Clemson at Texas A&M

Side Prediction/Full Game: Clemson -12.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 54 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Longest TD Over 51.5 yards (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Clemson -7 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 27 (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Yes to first score in 5:30 (3/5)

Game 5: Kentucky at Florida

Side Prediction/Full Game: Florida -14 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 49.5 points (4/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Florida over 32.5 points (4/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Florida -7 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 26.5 points (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: No to score in first 6:00 (3/5)

Game 6: Cincinnati at Miami of Ohio:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Miami -1.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 50 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Miami PK (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 25 (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 7: Tulsa at Texas:

Side Prediction/Full Game: Tulsa +23 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Under 61 (5/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game:
Side Prediction/Half Time: Texas -13.5 (3/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Under 33.5 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time:

Game 8: No. 10 Penn State at Pittsburgh

Side Prediction/Full Game: Penn State -9 (4/5)
Total Prediction/Full Game: Over 57 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Full Game: Penn State over 32.5 (3/5)
Side Prediction/Half Time: Penn State -5.5 (5/5)
Total Prediction/Half Time: Over 28 (3/5)
Prop Prediction/Half Time: Yes to score in first 5:30 (3/5)

Previous Day’s Record: 14-10
Season Record: 19-17

1-star play record: 0-0
2-star play record: 0-0
3-star play record: 14-7
4-star play record: 2-8
5-star play record: 3-2

Is It Time to Invite More Teams to the Postseason Party?

WRITER’S NOTE: This is a column I wrote about expanding the College Football Playoff from four to eight teams for WinnersandWhiners:

It is now year five of the great (or not-so-great) College Football Playoff era. The powers that be created a committee of 13 of the sport’s best and brightest to find the best four teams who then slug it out over two games around the new year and shortly thereafter to be declared the national champion.

By and large, the College Football Playoff (CFP) has been well-received. Fans of big-time college had long been clamoring for a playoff given the subjective whims of poll voters and the arcane coefficients of computers that can sometimes skew a set of rankings. A bonus of the CFP is since it is technically not overseen by the NCAA, college sports’ governing body cannot screw it up. The CFP also figured out how to make every major bowl feel loved, rotating the three playoff games among six sites, and the three sites which do not host a playoff game still get a marquee matchup from the best of the rest.

Yet not everyone is happy. The biggest issue is the CFP consists of only four teams, and in the previous four seasons, all 16 teams have come from Power 5 Conferences. Invariably, a worthy team(s) comes along and fails to get the opportunity to be the best team because there’s no room.

Ohio State could feel aggrieved it was left out last season as Big Ten conference champion considering Alabama did not even reach the SEC title game. UCF could feel aggrieved considering it went 13-0 and defeated Auburn – which beat Alabama – and did not play in an upper-tier bowl let alone the CFP.

There are many potential fixes, all of which are messy and will never satisfy everyone. But for the sake of this exercise, let’s take Occam’s Razor and expand the CFP from four teams to eight.

Here’s why:

Reason 1 – All Power 5 conference champions would be represented.

One extra round of playoffs removes a majority of complaints – that a four-team playoff is too restrictive and leaves a potential champion on the sidelines.

Could Ohio State have won the CFP last year? Maybe. Would everyone like to have seen Alabama and Ohio State play a potential quarterfinal game? Hell, yeah.

Having all power five conferences represented in the CFP is an eventuality considering the growing chasm in athletic budgets between Power 5 and Group of 5 conferences. With eight teams, no one cares if the Pac-12 endures a down year because the champion is represented. With eight teams, no one cares if one of the Power 5 conferences has two teams because there are still two other available spots. And with eight teams, there is more room for one of the Group of 5 conferences to crash the party. Which brings us to…

Reason 2 – The little guy will get his due.

The NCAA Tournament is great because it is inclusive. At Midnight Madness in October, all 350-plus Division I teams start with the chance to be in the 68-team field come March. The average person gravitates to the NCAA Tournament partly because they have $10 in the office pool but also because something special can happen when an underdog has access to the tournament.

Loyola’s run to the Final Four and Maryland-Baltimore County’s upset of No. 1 seed Virginia are Exhibits A and B. When teams like UCF go unbeaten and get shut out of the CFP, it subtracts from the drama needed to draw in the average and neutral fans. And when teams like UCF are shut out of the CFP for simply being not ranked high enough in the preseason or do not have a quality opponent in-conference to enhance their power rating, the injustice is magnified because teams from Power 5 conferences may have ducked these smaller schools KNOWING full well how good they are.

There is a natural curiosity about smaller teams reaching the pinnacle of college football. Think UCF last year. Think Northern Illinois playing in the Orange Bowl in 2013. Think Boise State in 2009. Think Hawaii in the Sugar Bowl in 2007. People want to see these Davids take on Goliath. More times than not, Goliath wins. But sometimes David does, as Oklahoma can fully attest.

Reason 3 – On-campus playoff games.

And now, the most contentious point of this proposal. The semifinal and final rotation of stadiums would remain the same. The teams ranked ninth through 16th in the CFP would play at the other four of the six major bowl sites. Having an eight-team playoff with the quarterfinals on campus sites makes both the regular season and conference championship meaningful.

The games would be played the week after the conference championship games to accommodate the student body being on campus and so players (and fellow students) can spend holidays with their families. In a perfect world, it also compresses the television schedule of bowl season. College football is all about atmosphere and iconic stadiums. A full week of on-campus hype to a playoff game is worth its weight in gold for colleges and universities in terms of free advertising.

Consider: Would you rather see Virginia Tech play Oklahoma at Jerry World in Dallas, or would you rather see the Hokies host the Sooners at Lane Stadium with Metallica’s “Enter Sandman” blasting with a blackout crowd in Blacksburg?

Would you rather watch Wisconsin play Alabama in Orlando or in Madison when it’s possibly snowing and the Badger student section is making Camp Randall quake when House of Pain’s “Jump Around” hits the sound system?

For the team, a quarterfinal home game is the absolute apex of motivation. Having a playoff game on campus gets the student body directly involved in a low-cost way as opposed to them paying exorbitant amounts of money for airline tickets and hotel rooms over the holiday season.

Reason 4 – Mo’ money, mo’ money, mo’ money, mo’ money.

ESPN is paying nearly $500 million dollars per year to broadcast THREE games. Now add FOUR more games to the equation. While TV contracts are at going to hit a market correction at some point, live sports programming always commands premium advertising dollars.

There is no rule saying the CFP must enter a contract with one network to carry all four additional games. In fact, it may be more profitable to sell the individual rights to each quarterfinal on shorter multiyear deals. National networks (i.e., CBS, FOX, ABC, etc.) can bid on conferences to which they hold rights and strengthen their affiliation and brand. People want to watch games that matter. And networks know this.

Reason 5 – These quarterfinal games will not replace lesser bowl games (though they should).

Full disclaimer: This space firmly believes a team should only be bowl eligible if it finishes ABOVE .500. However, that toothpaste is never going back in the tube. There were 81 bowl-eligible teams last season and all but three of them played in a bowl game.

Finding 86 bowl-eligible teams will not be easy, and maybe one or two bowls decide it is not worth the dwindling attendance and logistical headaches that come with hosting. That is simply supply and demand. According to a USA Today article from December, bowl attendance had declined each of the previous nine seasons entering the 2017 bowl season.

Yes, a team should be rewarded for having a good season. However, with so few schools having alumni and fan bases who travel well, flying to some far-flung place after a 6-6 season to play another team who went 6-6 or 7-5 is both not appealing and sometimes financially counterproductive for an athletic department. Before the CFP, Connecticut lost $1.8 million when it surprisingly reached the 2011 Fiesta Bowl.

The CFP, though, has taken care of the schools with cash. Lots and lots of cash. In that same USA Today Article, the CFP reportedly accounted for more than 70 percent of the $622 million paid out by bowl games to conferences and schools. The profit-to-expense ratio was a healthy $5 for every $1 spent, and over $100 million was spent.

Now add four additional games with direct CFP oversight as part of the playoff. Four important games that will get, at worst, solid ratings. That 5-1 P/E ratio will get dwarfed fairly easily.

The best part about college football is the arguments about how to improve it never really end. Even expanding to eight teams will cause someone to say, “Well why not make it 16 and have every conference champion represented?” Don’t worry, it’ll probably happen. But for now, let’s just try and get to eight and see what happens.