July 16 MLB Preview — San Francisco (45-49) at Colorado Rockies (46-48)

(Mike Yastrzemski photo courtesy Richard Mackson/USA TODAY Sports)

This is the full preview(s) as seen on the Winners and Whiners and Stat Salt websites. The confidence rating for all picks on a scale from 1 to 5 is in parentheses.

Note: The 5/5 does NOT represent the best overall pick of the day’s games when there are multiple games, simply the best pick(s) from each individual game.

When and Where: Tuesday, July 16, Coors Field, Denver, Colo., 8:40 p.m. EDT.

A pair of struggling pitchers meet Tuesday night in a venue unlikely to help them end their woes as Drew Pomeranz leads the San Francisco Giants into the third game of their four-game set versus Colorado Rockies rookie Paul Lambert.

Pomeranz looking to avoid being third 10-game loser in NL

Pomeranz (2-9, 6.42 ERA) has dropped seven of his last eight decisions and is mired in a personal three-game losing streak. The left-hander has failed to last beyond five innings in four starts during his current skid, and the Giants have provided little run support with four runs combined in those games.

“I’ve been pitching well because I’ve been going right after guys and being super aggressive right from the get-go,” Pomeranz told the San Francisco Examiner. “… You’ve got to figure out a way to get pissed off or do something to go out there mad or whatever trick it takes, but you’ve got to be ready from the get-go, or else stuff like that happen.”

Pomeranz also has a personal three-game road losing streak entering this contest, posting a horrid 18.00 ERA in the four starts covering those defeats. He has been tagged for 24 runs and 26 hits in 12 innings in which opponents rang up a .426 batting average and eight home runs.

The southpaw is familiar with Coors Field — Pomeranz broke into the majors with Colorado in 2011 — but this will be just his second appearance there as a visitor. He picked up a win with San Diego in 2016 and is 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA in four career starts versus the Rockies.

All-Star break came at perfect time for Lambert

The 22-year-old Lambert (2-1, 6.67) staggered into the All-Star break after winning his first two major league starts, posting a 10.19 ERA in four starts as opponents knocked around the right-hander for 20 runs and 30 hits in 17 2-3 innings while posting a .380 batting average and eight home runs.

The Rockies are hoping the extra rest will help Lambert regain some zip since it will be 13 days between starts when he takes the mound. The rookie was reached for a pair of solo homers and four runs in five innings of a 4-2 loss to Houston on July 3.

Lambert has made four of his six starts at Coors Field, and he has been wild in the strike zone — he has served up eight homers in just 17 2-3 innings in those games, but seven of them have been solo shots.

The righty is 1-1 with a 9.17 ERA at Coors, and 14 of the 26 hits he has yielded there have gone for extra bases.

Notable Trends:

The Rockies are:

  • 0-4 in Lambert’s last four starts.
  • 2-9 in their last 11 games.
  • 0-6 in their last six vs. NL West teams.

The Giants are:

  • 4-1 in their last five Tuesday games.
  • 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. starters with a plus-1.30 WHIP.
  • 7-1 in their last eight road games.

5-Star Pick!!!!!

Giants -0.5 runs (+146)

Another alternate line pick courtesy PointsBet.com, the hedge is the Giants continue their strong early trend in which they have led at the five-inning mark in the last three games and not trailed in the last seven (4-0-3).

Both pitchers’ struggles make this a challenging pick, but Pomeranz’s guile and the Giants’ hot bats warrant hope in the aggressive play compared to the -136 for taking the Giants and a half-run.

4-Star Pick!!!!

Giants -1.5 runs (+175)

An aggressive alternate spread pick courtesy PointsBet.com, the hedge is the Giants continue their torrid production offensively as they push to get back to .500. For the record, the straight money line pick for the Giants at +115 is also a viable pick here.

After watching San Francisco light up German Marquez in the opener of Monday’s twinbill to begin this four-game series, the belief is the Giants offense can work Lambert’s wildness in the zone to their advantage and have another big night at the plate.

3-Star Picks!!!

UNDER 14.5 runs (-110)

Yes, both pitchers are struggling, but are they both really going to struggle this much? Lambert’s gopher ball tendencies are a huge concern, even if they are solo shots, but after seeing both ends of the spectrum in Monday’s twinball, the belief is there is a happy medium exists just over double digits to deliver the under

The later start may help keep the ball in the park slightly better than the day, and while both pitchers’ forms make this pick a toss-up, the hook offers just enough to think the teams will come close but not over the number. Additionally, having an opposing pitcher who knows how to pitch at Coors Field in ex-Rockie Pomeranz gives a little help to the under.

Giants’ Crawford to hit HR (+500)

Before Monday’s twinbill, Crawford had hit homers in back-to-back games just once in his career, and he has never gone deep in three straight games. But with Lambert struggling to keep the ball in the park and the Giants shortstop hitting .373 in his last 17 games along with four homers in his last five contests, Crawford is worth a flyer to hit a big fly here.

Crawford is also 9 for 17 with 12 RBIs in four games at Coors this season, driving in at least one run in each contest after his monstrous three-homer, nine-RBI performance Monday.

UNDER 8.5 runs (-121)

The feeling is the teams will come right up to the number and fall short because of the hook. Both pitchers’ struggles make this a challenge, and the Giants’ offense also makes this pick difficult. However, the belief is the 13 runs in Monday’s twinbill opener is an outlier considering San Francisco had scored two or fewer runs in five other contests in a six-game span.

Rockies 3-way money line 1st inning (+180)

While the Giants are the pick everywhere else, the Rockies are worth a flyer here given Pomeranz’s first-inning struggles, especially on the road. The lefty has a ghastly 11.25 ERA in the opening frame, having yielded 20 runs in 16 starts while opponents are batting .385.

In seven road starts, Pomeranz has yielded a run in four of those outings, including three in which he gave up at least three runs. He did keep the Rockies off the board in the two matchups in San Francisco this season, but with Colorado averaging .69 runs in the first overall and plating a run in five of the last 10 home games offers hope the Rockies can get on the board early.

 

 

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